Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 15.037218 17.240309 19.671448 22.556146 25.889589 29.625228 34.135605
2025-10-26 11.690008 14.451706 17.747475 21.981148 27.291266 33.751884 42.240284
2025-11-02 9.813407 12.797451 16.562473 21.681990 28.494262 37.292307 49.589629
2025-11-09 8.502492 11.580635 15.644905 21.435401 29.525561 40.504117 56.662212
2025-11-16 7.482625 10.579586 14.831888 21.140035 30.335016 43.363758 63.428111
2025-11-23 6.626996 9.684576 14.030888 20.714434 30.832404 45.735111 69.641359
2025-11-30 6.282573 9.471788 14.156126 21.609201 33.305901 51.183025 81.005516
2025-12-07 5.847072 9.067940 13.941667 21.940894 34.915302 55.430140 90.910320
2025-12-14 5.386164 8.572761 13.528405 21.898715 35.895373 58.735165 99.587015
2025-12-21 4.951780 8.073996 13.054906 21.696418 36.565470 61.558259 107.701353
2025-12-28 4.764105 7.955704 13.177498 22.481328 38.952140 67.468416 121.816795
2026-01-04 4.552979 7.775981 13.176171 23.043070 40.988282 72.943027 135.718603
2026-01-11 4.389745 7.668192 13.294217 23.837689 43.542986 79.645129 152.786109
2026-01-18 4.016496 7.158661 12.667142 23.227230 43.451865 81.466413 160.651393
2026-01-25 3.726390 6.772515 12.224587 22.910209 43.869652 84.265324 170.737333
2026-02-01 3.472838 6.431272 11.833216 22.648897 44.358843 87.230003 181.467370
2026-02-08 3.236501 6.102201 11.435890 22.335911 44.706484 89.929321 191.918174
2026-02-15 3.004754 5.762834 10.990579 21.884941 44.723725 91.941109 201.084319
2026-02-22 2.957210 5.777278 11.228888 22.833073 47.727623 100.468493 225.703280
2026-03-01 2.844537 5.652879 11.181850 23.184579 49.492858 106.513798 245.361454
2026-03-08 2.698262 5.448779 10.957541 23.139879 50.387737 110.730614 261.211060
2026-03-15 2.546287 5.221157 10.666938 22.925498 50.881563 114.088119 275.372996
2026-03-22 2.504077 5.219664 10.846621 23.757330 53.824322 123.342862 305.208190